Wednesday, 26 September 2012

Food prices cause social unrest

Food prices (black line) and food riots and the Arab Spring (red lines)
Food prices (black line) and food riots and the Arab Spring (red lines)
The timing of violent protests in North Africa and the Middle East in 2011 as well as earlier riots in 2008 coincides with large peaks in global food prices.

If food prices remain high, there is likely to be persistent and increasing global social disruption.

http://necsi.edu/research/social/foodcrises.html

The food price threshold at which increased social unrest occurs may be passed again soon:
Food prices (blue) and food price model (red) including projected increases in coming months. The social unrest threshold, corrected for inflation (purple dashed line) is a level of food prices that is likely to cause food riots of impoverished populations and social disruption.
Food prices (blue) and food price model (red) including projected increases in coming months. The social unrest threshold, corrected for inflation (purple dashed line) is a level of food prices that is likely to cause food riots of impoverished populations and social disruption. 
http://necsi.edu/research/social/foodprices/briefing/

Saturday, 22 September 2012

Global water use from 1900 to 2000 by sector

The greyband represents in the difference between the amount of water extracted and that actually consumed. Water may be extracted, used, recycled (or returned to rivers or aquifers) and reused several times over. Consumption is final use of water, after which it can no longer be reused. That extractions have increase at a much faster rate is an indication of how much more intensively we can now exploit water. Only a fraction of water extracted is lost through evaporation.
http://www.grida.no/graphicslib/detail/trends-in-global-water-use-by-sector_f83a

Thursday, 20 September 2012

Hans Rosling






Arctic sea ice

Arctic sea ice has hit a record low.


2012 record arctic sea ice extent melt

This year’s minimum was 760,000 square kilometers (293,000 square miles) below the previous record minimum extent in the satellite record, which occurred on September 18, 2007. This is an area about the size of the state of Texas. The September 2012 minimum was in turn 3.29 million square kilometers (1.27 million square miles) below the 1979 to 2000 average minimum, representing an area nearly twice the size of the state of Alaska. This year’s minimum is 18% below 2007 and 49% below the 1979 to 2000 average.

Arctic sea ice is melting much faster than predicted.

IPCC models vs observed sea ice.
IPCC models vs observed sea ice.

Monday, 17 September 2012

Tropical Forests make poor farmland

With all the lushness and productivity that exist in tropical forests, it can be surprising to learn that tropical soils are actually very thin and poor in nutrients. The underlying “parent” rock weathers rapidly in the tropics’ high temperatures and heavy rains, and over time, most of the minerals have washed from the soil. Nearly all the nutrient content of a tropical forest is in the living plants and the decomposing litter on the forest floor.

Amazon Soil
The organic material and nutrients in a tropical rainforest are found in the vegetation itself, not in the soil. This eroded hillside along a river in Amazonia shows the infertile soil typical of tropical environments (pinkish-tan) topped by a very thin layer of fertile soil and forest detritus (brown). 
When an area is completely deforested for farming, the farmer typically burns the trees and vegetation to create a fertilizing layer of ash. After this slash-and-burn deforestation, the nutrient reservoir is lost, flooding and erosion rates are high, and soils often become unable to support crops in just a few years. If the area is then turned into cattle pasture, the ground may become compacted as well, slowing down or preventing forest recovery.

All tropical forest sub-regions (coded by color) are represented in a list of the top 20 countries that cleared the most forest between 1990 and 2005. Brazil, the leader, cleared over 42 million hectares, an area the size of California. 

http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/Deforestation/printall.php

World GDP per capita 1500 to 2003

World GDP per capita 1500 to 2003
World GDP per capita 1500 to 2003
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_economy

Population growth

World human population (est.) 10,000 BC–2000 AD.
World human population (est.) 10,000 BC–2000 AD.

World population since 1950
World population since 1950

A chart of changes in world population growth rate from 1950–2010 (red) and predicted changes in world population growth rate from 2010–2050 (blue).
A chart of changes in world population growth rate from 1950–2010 (red) and predicted changes in world population growth rate from 2010–2050 (blue).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_growth